Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 81.237400 90.949378 100.838770 111.631167 123.047040 134.734561 147.576132
2025-10-12 67.495975 81.687580 96.734026 113.748738 132.335202 151.913776 173.990387
2025-10-19 57.587947 74.122378 92.204783 113.189849 136.633936 161.805616 190.669357
2025-10-26 49.870971 67.993721 88.381697 112.585637 140.143898 170.200470 205.131836
2025-11-02 44.337347 63.736556 86.122613 113.226494 144.583174 179.225426 219.923672
2025-11-09 38.878168 59.035818 82.903387 112.361976 146.964445 185.653401 231.557477
2025-11-16 34.714452 55.539872 80.797173 112.516699 150.276353 192.934249 243.974528
2025-11-23 30.500986 51.615580 77.877856 111.447044 151.943036 198.156313 253.899483
2025-11-30 27.927916 49.608058 77.155088 112.880259 156.439257 206.545896 267.367747
2025-12-07 25.760364 47.959991 76.745307 114.580745 161.162404 215.130688 281.007876
2025-12-14 22.707650 44.836023 74.250644 113.535547 162.452352 219.594485 289.792126
2025-12-21 19.528379 41.253936 70.948402 111.299837 162.151912 222.067876 296.159635
2025-12-28 18.852403 41.347331 72.561941 115.369521 169.655013 233.899697 313.611381
2026-01-04 17.659322 40.557781 72.918822 117.783049 175.093940 243.267515 328.181596
2026-01-11 15.595804 38.226800 71.027755 117.170722 176.687895 247.962306 337.185343
2026-01-18 13.733405 36.039244 69.213495 116.561567 178.210228 252.514318 345.975568
2026-01-25 12.404535 34.612823 68.397168 117.213933 181.277645 258.905737 356.932295
2026-02-01 10.789757 32.520386 66.504100 116.332516 182.327920 262.790886 364.855505
2026-02-08 9.587173 31.035835 65.422738 116.490270 184.662695 268.215750 374.602629
2026-02-15 8.211783 29.056210 63.491252 115.399409 185.325367 271.538687 381.783568
2026-02-22 7.513453 28.323503 63.421098 116.861024 189.283535 278.923369 393.869546
2026-03-01 6.925548 27.749964 63.562178 118.595005 193.583795 286.726678 406.463806
2026-03-08 5.858071 26.005418 61.767303 117.529245 194.159546 289.859301 413.356531